Airbnb Investment Market Data

Houston Airbnb Investment
Analysis & ROI Calculator

Cap rates, cash flow, and the economic indicators behind Houston short-term rental returns.

B+

Market Grade

66/100

Surge Score™

Houston Airbnb investment analysis

The economics of a Houston short-term rental start with $34,835 in average annual revenue for a three-bedroom ($34,281 across all sizes), a $184 nightly rate, and 56% occupancy. After 35 to 45% operating costs, a typical unit produces roughly $20,901 of net operating income before debt service. Houston suits investors who want a large, liquid, regulation-light market with diversified demand. The main things to underwrite are HOA and deed restrictions, which are enforceable regardless of city rules, and flood zone exposure.

The indicators below put those numbers in context: employment and population growth, median home prices, and the cost of entry relative to revenue. Use the calculator to model a specific address, then compare neighborhoods on the Houston neighborhoods page.

STR Investment Thesis — Houston

Houston offers STR investors a compelling combination of strong demand drivers, and a large metro population base. The data below breaks down each economic indicator and its specific relevance to short-term rental performance — every number answers the question: how does this affect my STR investment?

Investment Calculator

Model your returns with local market averages — adjust any field to customize

Property & Financing

$
%

= $60,000

%

Revenue Assumptions

$
%

Operating Costs

All annual
%
%
$
$
$
$
$

Turnover Cleaning

$

= $10,800/yr

Startup Costs

$
$
%

= $9,000

Exit Strategy

%
%

Financial Summary

Monthly Revenueⓘ$4,163
Monthly Mortgageⓘ$1,517
Total Investmentⓘ$81,000
Monthly Operating Costsⓘ$2,175
Monthly Total Expensesⓘ$3,692
Monthly Cash Flowⓘ$471

Investment Metrics

Cap Rateⓘ8.0%
Cash-on-Cash Returnⓘ7.0%
NOIⓘ$23,850
GRMⓘ6.0x
DSCRⓘ1.31x
Break-even Occupancyⓘ67%
IRRⓘ10.5%

Houston Airbnb Investment Analysis FAQ

Start with projected annual revenue (a Houston three-bedroom averages $34,835), subtract operating expenses of roughly 35 to 45% (cleaning, supplies, utilities, insurance, platform fees, management), then divide net operating income by your total cash invested (down payment, closing costs, furnishing). At 40% expenses that is about $20,901 of NOI to work with before debt service. The investment calculator on this page runs the full model with your purchase price and financing.

Cap rate is net operating income divided by purchase price. With $20,901 of NOI from a typical three-bedroom, a $350,000 purchase produces a 6.0% cap rate and a $450,000 purchase produces 4.6%. Compare that against long-term rental cap rates in Houston, typically 4 to 6%, and against the gross yield figures on each neighborhood page, which pair live median list prices with local revenue.

A well-run Houston short-term rental typically grosses $2,857 a month on average, usually two to three times comparable long-term rent, but carries 35 to 45% operating costs versus 20 to 30% for a long-term lease and requires active management. Net cash flow is often higher but more variable, with March at the top and January at the bottom of the year. Short-term rentals also preserve the option to convert to a 30+ day or annual lease if the market shifts.

The calculator uses Houston market data from this page: $184 average daily rate, 56% occupancy, and bedroom-level revenue. Enter purchase price, down payment, and rate, and it projects gross revenue, applies expense ratios, and returns net cash flow, cash-on-cash return, and break-even occupancy. Adjust the rate and occupancy inputs to the specific neighborhood you are targeting.

Using the Houston three-bedroom average of $2,903 a month: subtract roughly $1,161 in operating expenses and a mortgage payment (about $1,746 on a $350,000 purchase with 25% down at 7%), and monthly cash flow lands near $-4. Properties in the top neighborhoods, where revenue runs $40,420 a year, cash flow substantially more; each five-point change in occupancy moves monthly revenue by roughly $277.

Short-term rental investors in Houston typically target 8 to 12% cash-on-cash returns versus 4 to 7% for long-term rentals, but the spread depends on management quality, pricing, and property type. Two- and three-bedroom homes in mid-priced neighborhoods with strong occupancy tend to produce the best risk-adjusted returns. The Analysis tab breaks down the employment, population, and housing-cost data behind Houston rental returns.

Deep Market Analytics

Granular STR performance data, competitive landscape, and demand forecasts

Surge Market Intelligence

Monthly Revenue Seasonality

JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec

19,468

Total Active STR Listings

14 days

Avg Booking Lead Time

3.2 nights

Avg Length of Stay

+12.3%

Supply Growth (YoY)

Revenue Distribution

Top 10%$72,000+
Top 25%$48,000+
Median$34,200
Bottom 25%$18,000

Competitive Landscape

Entire Home/Apt68%
Private Room28%
Shared Room4%
Superhost %24%

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